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April 21, 2003
Monthly Economic Indicators
2002M12 2003M1 2003M2
2003M3
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BLS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA:
Civilian
Unempl.
Rate
6.0 5.7
5.8 5.8
Levels in
Millions
Civ. HH
Employment
136.439 137.536 137.408
137.348
Number of
Unemployed
8.711 8.302
8.450 8.445
Civ. Labor
Force
145.150 145.838 145.857
145.793
Monthly Changes in Thousands
Civ. HH
Employment
-103 1097
-128 -60
Number of
Unemployed
74 -409
148 -5
Civ. Labor
Force
-30
688
19 -64
Median Duration
of Unemp., Weeks
9.6 9.8
9.4 9.6
BLS
ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY DATA
Employment Levels in
Millions
Total Nonfarm Payroll
Emp. 130.670
130.873 130.516 130.408
Goods-Producing
23.551 23.563 23.462
23.448
Manufacturing
16.454 16.447 16.388
16.352
Construction
6.544 6.564
6.522 6.543
Mining
0.553 0.552
0.552 0.553
Service-Producing
107.119 107.310 107.054
106.960
Monthly Changes in Thousands
Total
Nonfarm Payroll
Emp.
-147 203
-357 -108
Goods-Producing
-80 12
-101
-14
Manufacturing
-83
-7 -59
-36
Construction
1
20
-42
21
Mining
2
-1
0 1
Service-Producing
-67 191
-256 -94
Diffusion
Index, Month-Ago Changes 44.4
49.4 39.2
47.1
Ave. Workweek, NF Total,
Hours
34.1 34.3
34.1 34.3
Manufacturing,
Hours
40.9 40.9
40.8 40.8
Ave. Hourly
Earnings, Total, $
14.98 14.99
15.08 15.10
Monthly %
Change
0.3 0.1
0.6 0.1
Monthly
SAAR %
Change
3.3 0.8
7.4 1.6
Production Hours
Index, Total, %
-0.1 0.5
-0.9 0.3
Manufacturing,
%
0.2 0.1
-0.7
-0.6
2002M12 2003M1 2003M2
2003M3
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BEA PERSONAL INCOME
Billions of Dollars,
SAAR
Personal
Income
9070.5 9102.8
9127.7 NA
Wages &
Salaries
5064.3 5082.7
5097.6 NA
Disposable
Personal Income
7972.7 8002.5
8021.3 NA
Monthly
% Change
Personal
Income
0.3 0.4
0.3 NA
Wages &
Salaries
0.2 0.4
0.3 NA
Disposable
Personal
Income
0.4 0.4
0.2 NA
Personal
Saving Rate,
Level
3.4 3.8
4.0 NA
CENSUS
BUREAU RETAIL & FOOD SERVICES SALES
Billions of
Dollars
Retail & Food Serv. Sales, Total
308.061 309.355 305.185
311.472
Excluding Auto
Dealers
231.940 234.723 233.335
235.808
Monthly % Change
Retail & Food
Serv. Sales, Total
1.5 0.4
-1.3 2.1
Excluding Auto
Dealers
0.2 1.2
-0.6 1.1
BEA LIGHT MOT.
VEH. UNIT RETAIL SALES
Millions,
Annualized
18.2 16.1
15.3
16.1
2002M12 2003M1 2003M2
2003M3
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HOUSING ACTIVITY
Millions of Units,
Annualized
Housing Starts,
Total
1.824 1.834
1.644 1.780
One-Family
1.464 1.512
1.313 1.414
Housing Permits,
Total
1.887 1.779
1.811 1.685
One-Family
1.411 1.411
1.320 1.307
Housing Sales, New
One-Family
1.063 0.929
0.854 NA
Housing
Sales, Existing One-Family 5.910
6.100 5.840
NA
Monthly % Change
Housing Starts,
Total
3.6 0.5
-10.4 8.3
One-Family
4.3 3.3
-13.2 7.7
Housing Permits,
Total
8.6 -5.7
1.8 -7.0
One-Family
3.2 0.0
-6.4 -1.0
Housing Sales, New
One-Family
4.0 -12.6
-8.1 NA
Housing Sales,
Existing One-Family
4.8 3.2
-4.3 NA
HOUSING
PRICES
Dollars
New
One-Family
196400 179600
188800 NA
Existing
One-Family
162400 160200
161600 NA
Monthly
% Change
New
One-Family
8.4 -8.6
5.1 NA
Existing
One-Family
0.6 -1.4
0.9
NA
2002M12 2003M1 2003M2
2003M3
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FED. RESERVE BD. IP AND CAP. UTIL
Industrial Production
Monthly % Change
Industry
Total
-0.8 0.8
-0.1 -0.5
Manufacturing
-0.9 0.6
-0.3 -0.2
Capacity Utilization
Rate
Industry
Total
74.9 75.4
75.3 74.8
Manufacturing
73.0 73.4
73.1
72.9
2002M12 2003M1 2003M2
2003M3
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CENSUS BUREAU INDUSTRY DATA
Monthly %
Change
New Factory Orders
Total
0.3 1.7
-1.5 NA
Durables
-0.4 2.1
-1.6
NA
Nondef. Capital
Goods
2.4 1.9
-6.1 NA
BEA
MONTHLY INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Bal. of Payments, Goods &
Serv.
Billions of Dollars
Export/Import
Balance
-44.877 -41.233
-40.323 NA
Exports
80.626 82.031
82.448 NA
Imports
125.503 123.264
122.772 NA
Change
in Ex./Im. Bal., Bil.$
-4.717 3.644
0.910 NA
Monthly %
Change
Exports
-2.8 1.7
0.5 NA
Imports
1.9 -1.8
-0.4 NA
INSTITUTE
FOR SUPPLY MANAGEMENT
ISM Composite
Index
55.2 53.9
50.5 46.2
ISM Price
Index
52.6 52.6
53.3 53.8
ISM Supplier Deliveries
Index
56.9 57.5
65.5
70.0
2002M12 2003M1 2003M2
2003M3
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BLS CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, ALL URBAN
Monthly % Change
CPI,
Total
0.1 0.3
0.6 0.3
Excl.
Food &
Energy
0.2 0.1
0.1 0.0
Monthly SAAR %
Change
CPI,
Total
1.3 4.0
7.5 4.0
Excl.
Food &
Energy
1.9 1.3
1.3 0.0
BLS PRODUCER
PRICE INDEX, FINISHED GOODS
Monthly % Change
PPI,
Total
-0.2 1.6
1.0 1.5
Excl.
Food &
Energy
-0.5 0.9
-0.5 0.7
Monthly SAAR %
Change
PPI,
Total
-2.5 20.7
12.5 19.1
Excl. Food
&
Energy
-6.2 10.9
-5.4 9.1