November 3-5, 2000
Western State College, Gunnison, Colorado
The Gunnison Economy Past and Present:
A Sketch of Changes Towards An
Amenity-Based Regional Economy
Prof. Walt Hecox
And
Travis Rummel, Class of 2001
Sustainable Development Workshop
Economics Department
Colorado College, Colorado Springs, Colorado
Introduction
Gunnison is following the rest of Colorado and vast stretches of the American West as it evolves towards a new type of economy. Once heavily focused upon direct uses of natural resources for products and sources of employment, the Gunnison region is experiencing a major revolution in the role natural resources play. Recreation and tourism depend upon the quality of natural resources just as extractive activities do, but this new "amenity" economy places resources and the environment in a new and unfamiliar role. Locals, visitors and transplants from the rest of the nation enjoy the quality of life in the area while the abundance of open space, public lands, and recreational opportunities generate new sources of "service product" and employment. And yet, agriculture, forestry and mining retain an important role that many consider vital to a balanced economy in the future. The structure and direction of the region’s economy as it continues to evolve will literally determine whether "Gunnison" continues to serve as a synonym for a rural region of open spaces, well-managed resources and superior quality of life.
Are these changes being experienced in Gunnison and throughout the American West better, desirable, more sustainable than the "old" economy? These are fundamental questions that we all ask as our regions and their resources are caught up in major economic and demographic shifts. The first step in answering these questions is to know more about the evolving structure of the area’s economy. Over several decades major changes in the role of extractive activities, services, manufacturing and government are easy to see. The impacts these changes are having on types of employment, levels of income, property values, and government services need to be understood. A first step is to equip ourselves with information about how the Gunnison economy is evolving and how it compares with trends and magnitudes of the State of Colorado and the nation. This will help us consider whether this "new" economy is desirable, how it should be shaped, and whether it can support the quality of life and superior natural resources and environment that are hallmarks of Gunnison.
An economic and demographic profile of Gunnison Headwaters
Region (Gunnison County, Colorado) has been prepared covering the period
1969-1998. Designed to put key indicators in perspective with Colorado
and the US, trends and magnitudes are briefly discussed and shown visually
through selected graphs and tables. Drawing upon readily available data
from the US Census, Dept. of Commerce’s Regional Economic Information System
(REIS) CD-Rom a "sketch" of Gunnison follows. It is built upon county-level
data and is intended to give Headwaters Conference attendees a quick overview
of the region and its economy. The sketch is also intended to demonstrate
the types of readily available data that could be collected and reported
on a periodic basis so that trends and magnitudes of the evolving regional
economy are charted and publicized.
Similar to the rest of the American West, Gunnison County is going
through a "revolution" in the structure of its regional economy. Once heavily
dependent upon natural resource-based economic activity, now the role of
service-based employment predominates.
In 1970 Gunnison employment in resource-based sectors (farm, ag services and mining) stood at some 24% of total employment; by 1998 it had declined to 9%. Manufacturing activity in rural areas such as Gunnison has remained minimal but steady over this 28-year period at about 2%. The steady rise in service-based employment, from 75% to 90%, is one indication of dramatic changes underway in Gunnison as well as the rest of the American West.
Graph A-1
Table A-1: Percent Employent by Sector
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1970
|
1975
|
1980
|
1985
|
1990
|
1995
|
1998
|
| A. Resource-Based Employ. | |||||||
| Total Farm Empl |
11.3%
|
6.7%
|
5.2%
|
5.0%
|
3.9%
|
2.8%
|
3.1%
|
| Ag Serv Empl |
1.0%
|
0.8%
|
0.8%
|
1.0%
|
1.3%
|
1.3%
|
1.3%
|
| Mining Empl |
11.6%
|
11.3%
|
11.4%
|
7.9%
|
3.0%
|
4.6%
|
4.5%
|
| Total Resource-Based Employ. |
23.9%
|
18.8%
|
17.4%
|
13.8%
|
8.3%
|
8.7%
|
8.9%
|
| B. Manufacturing | |||||||
| Manuf Empl |
1.5%
|
2.0%
|
2.8%
|
1.9%
|
2.2%
|
2.3%
|
1.8%
|
| Total Manufacturing Employ. |
1.5%
|
2.0%
|
2.8%
|
1.9%
|
2.2%
|
2.3%
|
1.8%
|
| C. Service-Based Employ. | |||||||
| Construct Empl |
3.4%
|
4.7%
|
7.9%
|
9.7%
|
7.0%
|
8.2%
|
9.4%
|
| Trans/Util Empl |
1.1%
|
1.5%
|
1.9%
|
4.5%
|
2.7%
|
2.6%
|
2.5%
|
| Whlsl Trade Empl |
0.5%
|
1.3%
|
1.1%
|
0.8%
|
0.9%
|
1.1%
|
0.9%
|
| Rtl Trade Empl |
19.3%
|
21.9%
|
20.9%
|
21.5%
|
25.4%
|
24.1%
|
24.7%
|
| Fin Sector Empl |
5.3%
|
8.7%
|
11.3%
|
9.1%
|
9.3%
|
9.5%
|
9.2%
|
| Services Empl |
16.9%
|
19.9%
|
21.2%
|
22.9%
|
27.8%
|
28.2%
|
27.7%
|
| Total Gov Empl |
28.1%
|
21.1%
|
15.5%
|
15.9%
|
16.5%
|
15.3%
|
14.8%
|
| Total Service-Based Employ. |
74.6%
|
79.2%
|
79.8%
|
84.2%
|
89.6%
|
89.0%
|
89.3%
|
| D. Other Employment NES | |||||||
| Other Employment NES |
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
| Total Other Employment NES |
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
| E. Total Employment | |||||||
| Total Employment |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| (A + B + C D Above) |
Manufacturing, while growing nearly 5 times, in absolute numbers rose only from 40 to 195.
Services, where most of the employment growth has occurred, has also seen dramatically different trends between types of service employment. Overall service jobs grew from 2,023 to 9,616 over these 28 years. But the fastest growing service sectors included construction (growing 9 times), transportation/utilities (growing 8 times), wholesale trade (growing 7 times), retail trade (growing 4 times), and financial sector as well as services jobs (both growing near 6 times). Contrary to "folk-wisdom," total government employment over the same 28 years only doubled from 763 to 1,594 jobs.
Table B-1: Employment Trends by Sector
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1970
|
1975
|
1980
|
1985
|
1990
|
1995
|
1998
|
| A. Resource-Based Employ. | |||||||
| Total Farm Empl |
307
|
273
|
329
|
317
|
273
|
269
|
331
|
| Ag Serv Empl |
26
|
34
|
52
|
62
|
94
|
126
|
137
|
| Mining Empl |
315
|
459
|
724
|
503
|
213
|
451
|
486
|
| Total Resource-Based Employ. |
648
|
766
|
1105
|
882
|
580
|
846
|
954
|
| B. Manufacturing | |||||||
| Manuf Empl |
40
|
81
|
177
|
122
|
154
|
222
|
195
|
| Total Manufacturing Employ. |
40
|
81
|
177
|
122
|
154
|
222
|
195
|
| C. Service-Based Employ. | |||||||
| Construct Empl |
93
|
193
|
502
|
619
|
492
|
797
|
1017
|
| Trans/Util Empl |
29
|
62
|
119
|
286
|
190
|
255
|
267
|
| Whlsl Trade Empl |
13
|
52
|
71
|
48
|
61
|
109
|
102
|
| Rtl Trade Empl |
523
|
893
|
1325
|
1367
|
1781
|
2343
|
2657
|
| Fin Sector Empl |
145
|
354
|
714
|
578
|
654
|
922
|
992
|
| Services Empl |
457
|
810
|
1340
|
1457
|
1952
|
2743
|
2987
|
| Total Gov Empl |
763
|
858
|
982
|
1013
|
1160
|
1490
|
1594
|
| Total Service-Based Employ. |
2023
|
3222
|
5053
|
5368
|
6290
|
8659
|
9616
|
| D. Other Employment NES | |||||||
| Other Employment NES |
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
| Total Other Employment NES |
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
| E. Total Employment | |||||||
| Total Employment |
2711
|
4069
|
6335
|
6372
|
7024
|
9727
|
10765
|
While Gunnison resource-based employment has declined over the past near 3 decades, in comparison to the proportion of the same types of employment in Colorado and for the US natural resource jobs remain significant. For Colorado the share of resource-based employment has gradually declined from 7% in 1970 to 4% in 1998, while for the US the change has been from 6% in 1970 to 4% in 1998. Put another way, Gunnison resource-based employment in 1970 was 3.5 times that of Colorado and 4 times that of the US. By 1998 Gunnison’s resource jobs were 2 times those in Colorado and in the US.
Graph C-1

Graph D-1
But how do the various types of service-based employment in Gunnison stand relative to Colorado and the US? In 1998, the latest data used in this study, a number of service sectors in Gunnison had a larger proportion of total employment than Colorado and the US while in other sectors Gunnison lags Colorado and the nation.
Gunnison lead both Colorado and the US in service-based employment in total government employment (14.8% in Gunnison versus 13.4% for Colorado and 13.7% in the US), retail trade where the largest margin of difference exists (24.7% in Gunnison versus 17.2% in Colorado and 16.7% in the US) and finally in Construction (9.4% in Gunnison, 6.9% in Colorado, and 5.5% in the US).
In contrast, Gunnison lagged both Colorado and the US in other sectors: Gunnison lagged behind both Colorado and the US in service-based employment in services (Gunnison 27.7% versus 32.0% Colorado, 31.1% USA), Wholesale trade (.9% Gunnison, 4.2% Colorado, 4.6% USA), and Transportation/Utility employment (2.5% Gunnison, 5.3% Colorado, 4.8% USA).
One challenge of the "economic development" process is to help shape a balanced economy, where jobs and income are generated from a variety of sectors. A broader way of thinking about the role of natural resources and environment in Gunnison is to consider the ways by which open space, forests, wildlife, and water support both direct resource-based employment and indirect employment through recreation, tourism, and the stimulation of new jobs in the information, technology and service sectors. While current data make it difficult to identify such service sector jobs buoyed by natural amenities, observation and experience support the notion that natural resources and environment remain a key foundation to the Gunnison regional economy.
Graph D-2

E. Income Trends Reflect Amenity Changes
Also
Trends in "sources" of income reveal additional information about the transformation of the Gunnison regional economy underway in the past 3 decades.
Table E-1: Economic Profile Trends by Percentages
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1970
|
1975
|
1980
|
1985
|
1990
|
1995
|
1998
|
| Personal income ($000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Nonfarm personal income ($000) |
94.7%
|
94.5%
|
97.3%
|
100.1%
|
98.8%
|
100.4%
|
100.9%
|
| + Farm income ($000) |
5.3%
|
5.5%
|
2.7%
|
-0.1%
|
1.2%
|
-0.4%
|
-0.9%
|
| Derivation of personal income | |||||||
| Net earnings ($000) |
70.4%
|
71.4%
|
73.2%
|
67.4%
|
66.0%
|
66.8%
|
65.2%
|
| + Transfer payments ($000) |
8.3%
|
10.3%
|
7.4%
|
8.4%
|
9.5%
|
9.0%
|
8.4%
|
| Income maintenance ($000) |
0.8%
|
0.7%
|
0.4%
|
0.7%
|
0.7%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
| Unemploy ins benefit payments ($000) |
0.3%
|
0.9%
|
0.3%
|
0.5%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.2%
|
| Retirement and other ($000) |
7.2%
|
8.7%
|
6.6%
|
7.3%
|
8.6%
|
8.1%
|
7.7%
|
| + Dividends, interest, and rent ($000) |
21.3%
|
18.3%
|
19.4%
|
24.2%
|
24.5%
|
24.2%
|
26.4%
|
| = Total Personal Income |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Population (# of persons) |
7,705
|
9,213
|
10,713
|
10,126
|
10,310
|
11,788
|
12,425
|
| Per capita incomes | |||||||
| Per capita personal income ($) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Per capita net earnings ($) |
70.4%
|
71.4%
|
73.2%
|
67.4%
|
66.0%
|
66.8%
|
65.2%
|
| Per capita transfer payments ($) |
8.3%
|
10.3%
|
7.4%
|
8.4%
|
9.5%
|
9.0%
|
8.4%
|
| Per capita income maintenance ($) |
0.8%
|
0.7%
|
0.4%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
| Per capita unemploy ins benefits ($) |
0.3%
|
0.9%
|
0.3%
|
0.5%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.2%
|
| Per capita retirement & other ($) |
7.2%
|
8.7%
|
6.6%
|
7.3%
|
8.6%
|
8.1%
|
7.7%
|
| Per capita dividends, interest, & rent ($) |
21.2%
|
18.3%
|
19.4%
|
24.1%
|
24.5%
|
24.2%
|
26.4%
|
| Place of work profile | |||||||
| Total earnings (place of work, $000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Wage and salary disbursements ($000) |
72.1%
|
72.6%
|
75.5%
|
76.2%
|
73.7%
|
75.1%
|
77.0%
|
| + Other labor income ($000) |
6.3%
|
7.9%
|
10.0%
|
10.2%
|
10.6%
|
10.6%
|
10.6%
|
| + Proprietors' income ($000) |
21.7%
|
19.5%
|
14.6%
|
13.6%
|
15.7%
|
14.2%
|
12.4%
|
| Nonfarm proprietors' income ($000) |
19.6%
|
15.9%
|
13.4%
|
14.9%
|
14.9%
|
15.5%
|
14.4%
|
| Farm proprietors' income ($000 |
2.0%
|
3.5%
|
1.2%
|
-1.2%
|
0.8%
|
-1.3%
|
-2.0%
|
| Total full- and part- time employment |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Wage and salary jobs |
75.9%
|
75.4%
|
76.8%
|
73.7%
|
76.1%
|
75.4%
|
76.0%
|
| Number of proprietors |
24.1%
|
24.6%
|
23.2%
|
26.3%
|
23.9%
|
24.6%
|
24.0%
|
| Number of nonfarm proprietors |
18.0%
|
20.7%
|
20.8%
|
23.6%
|
21.7%
|
22.6%
|
22.2%
|
| Number of farm proprietors |
6.1%
|
3.9%
|
2.4%
|
2.7%
|
2.3%
|
1.9%
|
1.8%
|
| Average earnings per job ($) |
$5,639
|
$7,766
|
$11,453
|
$14,514
|
$14,868
|
$17,617
|
$19,454
|
| Average wage & salary disbursements ($) |
$5,353
|
$7,478
|
$11,256
|
$15,000
|
$14,418
|
$17,554
|
$19,721
|
| Average nonfarm proprietors' income ($) |
$6,166
|
$5,977
|
$7,360
|
$9,140
|
$10,227
|
$12,027
|
$12,629
|
Information on trends in income buttress the evidence shown in employment data that Gunnison is fast approaching a new type of economy, one that both changes the role of natural resources and the environment as a foundation for the economy and makes predominant services as the major form of economic activity.
The role of farming as a source of income has declined over the past decades and in recent years has resulted in yearly losses (counted as negative income). In 1970 farm income was 5.3% of personal income in Gunnison, while 94.7% came from nonfarm income sources. By 1998 farm losses were nearly 1% of personal income, with nonfarm income standing at 100.9% of personal income.
Graph E-1
Total personal income for an individual, family, or region consists
of:
Net earnings (Salary and wages minus personal contributions to social security)
+ Transfer Payments
income maintenance (often called welfare payments)
unemployment benefits
retirement
+ Dividends, interest and rent earnings
The shares of these sources of personal income have changed substantially since 1970, with "non-work" income sources growing in importance over net earnings from work. In 1970 net earnings were 70.4% of personal income, while transfer payments were 8.3% and dividends, etc. stood at 21.3%. By 1998 net earnings had declined as a share to 65.2%, transfer payments stood at 8.4%, and dividends, etc. rose to 26.4%.
Graph E-2
A third way to look at income trends is by "total earnings by place of work"." This reflects both income paid by companies to employ workers and "proprietors" income, usually termed "self-employment." In 1970 some 72% of income was through wage and salary disbursements, 6.3% came from other labor income, and 21.7% consisted of Proprietors’ income (19.6% for nonfarm proprietors and 2% from farm proprietors). By 1998 77% of income came from wages and salaries, 10.6% from other labor income, and only 12.4% from Proprietors’ income (14.4% from for nonfarm proprietors and –2% for farm proprietors).
Graph E-3
Table F-1: Sector Shares of Employment
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1970
|
1975
|
1980
|
1985
|
1990
|
1995
|
1998
|
| Current $ % of Total Income | |||||||
| Total Pers Inc ($ 000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Nonfarm Inc ($ 000) |
94.7%
|
94.5%
|
97.3%
|
100.1%
|
98.8%
|
100.4%
|
100.6%
|
| Farm Inc ($ 000) |
5.3%
|
5.5%
|
2.7%
|
-0.1%
|
1.2%
|
-0.4%
|
-0.6%
|
| Income by Place of Work | |||||||
| Total Inc/ Plc of Work ($ 000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Wage/Sal Inc ($ 000) |
72.1%
|
72.6%
|
75.5%
|
76.2%
|
73.7%
|
75.1%
|
76.7%
|
| + Other Labor Inc ($ 000) |
6.3%
|
7.9%
|
10.0%
|
10.2%
|
10.6%
|
10.6%
|
10.9%
|
| + Total Prop Inc ($ 000) |
21.7%
|
19.5%
|
14.6%
|
13.6%
|
15.7%
|
14.2%
|
12.4%
|
| Farm Prop Inc ($ 000) |
2.0%
|
3.5%
|
1.2%
|
-1.2%
|
0.8%
|
-1.3%
|
-1.6%
|
| Nonfarm Prop Inc ($ 000) |
19.6%
|
15.9%
|
13.4%
|
14.9%
|
14.9%
|
15.5%
|
14.0%
|
| Earnings by Sector | |||||||
| A. Resource Based Earnings | |||||||
| Total Farm Earn ($ 000) |
6.2%
|
6.2%
|
3.0%
|
-0.1%
|
1.7%
|
-0.5%
|
-0.8%
|
| Ag Serv Earn ($ 000) |
0.6%
|
0.5%
|
0.3%
|
0.5%
|
0.6%
|
0.6%
|
0.6%
|
| Mining Earn ($ 000) |
20.7%
|
23.6%
|
26.0%
|
20.2%
|
7.6%
|
14.0%
|
14.4%
|
| Total Resource-Based Earnings ($ 000) |
27.6%
|
30.4%
|
29.3%
|
20.5%
|
9.9%
|
14.1%
|
14.3%
|
| B. Manufacturing |
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
0.0%
|
| Manuf Earnings |
1.1%
|
1.4%
|
2.6%
|
1.3%
|
1.5%
|
1.8%
|
2.1%
|
| Total Manufacturing Earnings |
1.1%
|
1.4%
|
2.6%
|
1.3%
|
1.5%
|
1.8%
|
2.1%
|
| C. Service Based Earnings | |||||||
| Construct Earn ($ 000) |
5.5%
|
5.4%
|
9.5%
|
12.0%
|
8.8%
|
11.1%
|
9.4%
|
| Trans/Util Earn ($ 000) |
2.2%
|
2.4%
|
2.6%
|
6.1%
|
3.7%
|
3.5%
|
3.2%
|
| Whlsl Trade Earn ($ 000) |
0.7%
|
2.0%
|
1.7%
|
1.0%
|
1.0%
|
1.3%
|
1.0%
|
| Rtl Trade Earn ($ 000) |
15.5%
|
14.7%
|
13.4%
|
14.8%
|
15.7%
|
15.5%
|
15.2%
|
| Fin Sector Earn ($ 000) |
2.7%
|
4.1%
|
5.4%
|
4.1%
|
6.7%
|
6.8%
|
8.6%
|
| Services Earn ($ 000) |
12.6%
|
12.6%
|
14.6%
|
17.4%
|
24.7%
|
21.6%
|
22.8%
|
| Total Gov Earnings ($ 000) |
32.1%
|
27.0%
|
20.9%
|
22.9%
|
28.0%
|
24.1%
|
23.5%
|
| Total Service Based Earnings ($ 000) |
71.3%
|
68.2%
|
68.0%
|
78.2%
|
88.6%
|
84.0%
|
83.6%
|
| Total Inc/ Plc of Work (A+B+C) ($ 000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| CPI 1970=100 |
Graph F-1
For Gunnison net earnings as a proportion of total personal income has declined from 70.4% in 1970 to 65.2 % in 1998. Over the same time period the contribution of transfer payments has gone from 8.3% to 8.4%, remaining nearly stable. The significant increase in earnings from dividends, interest and rent assets are reflected in a 21.3% share of personal income in 1970 versus a 26.4% share by 1998.
Table G-1: Shares of Sector Income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1970
|
1975
|
1980
|
1985
|
1990
|
1995
|
1998
|
| Personal income ($000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Nonfarm personal income ($000) |
94.7%
|
94.5%
|
97.3%
|
100.1%
|
98.8%
|
100.4%
|
100.9%
|
| + Farm income ($000) |
5.3%
|
5.5%
|
2.7%
|
-0.1%
|
1.2%
|
-0.4%
|
-0.9%
|
| Derivation of personal income | |||||||
| Net earnings ($000) |
70.4%
|
71.4%
|
73.2%
|
67.4%
|
66.0%
|
66.8%
|
65.2%
|
| + Transfer payments ($000) |
8.3%
|
10.3%
|
7.4%
|
8.4%
|
9.5%
|
9.0%
|
8.4%
|
| Income maintenance ($000) |
0.8%
|
0.7%
|
0.4%
|
0.7%
|
0.7%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
| Unemploy ins benefit payments ($000) |
0.3%
|
0.9%
|
0.3%
|
0.5%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.2%
|
| Retirement and other ($000) |
7.2%
|
8.7%
|
6.6%
|
7.3%
|
8.6%
|
8.1%
|
7.7%
|
| + Dividends, interest, and rent ($000) |
21.3%
|
18.3%
|
19.4%
|
24.2%
|
24.5%
|
24.2%
|
26.4%
|
| = Total Personal Income |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Population (# of persons) |
7,705
|
9,213
|
10,713
|
10,126
|
10,310
|
11,788
|
12,425
|
| Per capita incomes | |||||||
| Per capita personal income ($) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Per capita net earnings ($) |
70.4%
|
71.4%
|
73.2%
|
67.4%
|
66.0%
|
66.8%
|
65.2%
|
| Per capita transfer payments ($) |
8.3%
|
10.3%
|
7.4%
|
8.4%
|
9.5%
|
9.0%
|
8.4%
|
| Per capita income maintenance ($) |
0.8%
|
0.7%
|
0.4%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
0.7%
|
0.6%
|
| Per capita unemploy ins benefits ($) |
0.3%
|
0.9%
|
0.3%
|
0.5%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
0.2%
|
| Per capita retirement & other ($) |
7.2%
|
8.7%
|
6.6%
|
7.3%
|
8.6%
|
8.1%
|
7.7%
|
| Per capita dividends, interest, & rent ($) |
21.2%
|
18.3%
|
19.4%
|
24.1%
|
24.5%
|
24.2%
|
26.4%
|
| Place of work profile | |||||||
| Total earnings (place of work, $000) |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Wage and salary disbursements ($000) |
72.1%
|
72.6%
|
75.5%
|
76.2%
|
73.7%
|
75.1%
|
77.0%
|
| + Other labor income ($000) |
6.3%
|
7.9%
|
10.0%
|
10.2%
|
10.6%
|
10.6%
|
10.6%
|
| + Proprietors' income ($000) |
21.7%
|
19.5%
|
14.6%
|
13.6%
|
15.7%
|
14.2%
|
12.4%
|
| Nonfarm proprietors' income ($000) |
19.6%
|
15.9%
|
13.4%
|
14.9%
|
14.9%
|
15.5%
|
14.4%
|
| Farm proprietors' income ($000 |
2.0%
|
3.5%
|
1.2%
|
-1.2%
|
0.8%
|
-1.3%
|
-2.0%
|
| Total full- and part- time employment |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
| Wage and salary jobs |
75.9%
|
75.4%
|
76.8%
|
73.7%
|
76.1%
|
75.4%
|
76.0%
|
| Number of proprietors |
24.1%
|
24.6%
|
23.2%
|
26.3%
|
23.9%
|
24.6%
|
24.0%
|
| Number of nonfarm proprietors |
18.0%
|
20.7%
|
20.8%
|
23.6%
|
21.7%
|
22.6%
|
22.2%
|
| Number of farm proprietors |
6.1%
|
3.9%
|
2.4%
|
2.7%
|
2.3%
|
1.9%
|
1.8%
|
| Average earnings per job ($) |
$5,639
|
$7,766
|
$11,453
|
$14,514
|
$14,868
|
$17,617
|
$19,454
|
| Average wage & salary disbursements ($) |
$5,353
|
$7,478
|
$11,256
|
$15,000
|
$14,418
|
$17,554
|
$19,721
|
| Average nonfarm proprietors' income ($) |
$6,166
|
$5,977
|
$7,360
|
$9,140
|
$10,227
|
$12,027
|
$12,629
|
It is important to look more closely at the composition of the "transfer payments" segment of "non-work" income. Often it is assumed that government "welfare" programs have grown steadily and now maintain individuals and families who do not work. But buried in "transfer payments" is another type of income maintenance program: retirement. As middle-aged and older individuals migrate into "amenity" regions of the American West, their sources of income switch from "work" to "non-employment" retirement transfer payments and earnings from assets.
For Gunnison this phenomenon is underway. In 1970 .8% of total transfer payments came from income maintenance programs, but by 1998 this share had declined to .6%. Transfer payments in the form of unemployment benefits stood at .3% in 1970, evolving to .2% by 1998. Over the same 3 decades retirement payments went from 7.2% in 1970 to 7.7% by 1998.
Graph G-2

H. The Impacts of Inflation on Income and Earnings
One way to look at this question is in terms of "per capita" income and earnings levels. This controls for increases in population, in the case of Gunnison a growth from 7,705 in 1970 to 12,425 in 1998. Over these years per capita personal income in current dollar terms grew from $2,339 to $21,572. But when adjusted for inflation, using constant 1970 dollars, per capita personal income in Gunnison only grew from $2,339 to $5,136.
Table H-1: Per Capita Income Over Time
|
|
Gunnison |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (Current $) | |||||||
| Per capita incomes | |||||||
| Per capita personal income ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita net earnings ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita transfer payments ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita income maintenance ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita unemploy ins benefits ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita retirement & other ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita dividends, interest, & rent ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (Constant $1970) | |||||||
| Per capita incomes | |||||||
| Per capita personal income ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita net earnings ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita transfer payments ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita income maintenance ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita unemploy ins benefits ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita retirement & other ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Per capita dividends, interest, & rent ($) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share of Per Capita Income | |||||||
| % share Per capita personal income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share Per capita net earnings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share Per capita transfer payments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share Per capita income maintenance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share Per capita unemploy ins benefits |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share Per capita retirement & other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % share Per capita dividends, interest, & rent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

The income components making up total personal income are 1) net earnings, 2) transfer payments, and 3) dividends, interest and rent. In 1970 total personal per capita income in current dollars of $2,339 consisted of $1,647 net earnings + $194 total transfer payments + $497 asset earnings (dividends, interest and rent). By 1998, measured in constant 1970 dollars, total personal per capita income of $5,136 consisted of $3,349 net earnings + $433 total transfer payments + $1,354 asset earnings. Clearly the role of "non-work" sources of income has risen over this period, even when adjusted to a per capita basis and for the impacts of inflation.
Graph H-2
I. Gunnison Income Contrasted with Colorado and the US
|
|
|
|
||||
| Per Capita: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net earnings ($000) |
$14,066
|
$3,349
|
$21,509
|
$5,121
|
$18,448
|
$4,392
|
| + Transfer payments ($000) |
$1,819
|
$433
|
$2,796
|
$666
|
$3,639
|
$866
|
| Income maintenance ($000) |
$121
|
$29
|
$231
|
$55
|
$373
|
$89
|
| Unemploy ins benefit payments ($000) |
$39
|
$9
|
$38
|
$9
|
$75
|
$18
|
| Retirement and other ($000) |
$1,659
|
$395
|
$2,527
|
$602
|
$3,191
|
$760
|
| + Dividends, interest, and rent ($000) |
$5,688
|
$1,354
|
$5,689
|
$1,355
|
$5,115
|
$1,218
|
| = Total Personal Income |
$21,572
|
$5,136
|
$29,994
|
$7,141
|
$27,202
|
$6,477
|
| Gunnison | Colorado | USA | ||||
| Per Capita: | Current | Constant | Current | Constant | Current | Constant |
| Net earnings % of Total Personal Income |
65.2%
|
65.2%
|
71.7%
|
71.7%
|
67.8%
|
67.8%
|
| + Transfer payments % of Total Personal Income |
8.4%
|
8.4%
|
9.3%
|
9.3%
|
13.4%
|
13.4%
|
| Income maintenance % of Total Personal Income |
0.6%
|
0.6%
|
0.8%
|
0.8%
|
1.4%
|
1.4%
|
| Unemploy ins benefit payments% of Total Personal Income |
0.2%
|
0.2%
|
0.1%
|
0.1%
|
0.3%
|
0.3%
|
| Retirement and other % of Total Personal Income |
7.7%
|
7.7%
|
8.4%
|
8.4%
|
11.7%
|
11.7%
|
| + Dividends, interest, and rent % of Total Personal Income |
26.4%
|
26.4%
|
19.0%
|
19.0%
|
18.8%
|
18.8%
|
| = Total Personal Income |
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
Graph I-1
Graph I-2Is this "revolution" beneficial or not? Opinions differ, with some focusing on the "good old days" when natural resource extraction was a larger and very significant proportion of the regional economy, paid "decent" wages, and made obvious the "rural" dimensions of the area. Others believe that the new role of natural resources in an amenity economy are less "exploitative" and damaging to forests, streams, open space, and solitude. But critics of this argue that the spread of new homes, often second properties and sometimes trophy houses of gigantic proportions is like "clear-cutting open space with sub-divisions."
While the controversy and discussion will not abate, data on the magnitudes of the changes occurring in the Gunnison region should assist in a "conversation" about what kind of region and economy residents want and are willing to work towards achieving. Important questions arise in this regard. What should be the role of natural resource "harvesting and extraction" in the future? Can such uses contribute to forest and rangeland health? Where should scarce water resources be directed, within the confines of Colorado water law and the realities of the Gunnison Basin federal water priorities? How can a growing and dominant service sector contribute more to decent wages and necessary fringe benefits? Can open space remain an important "hallmark" of the region even as the "rural" character diminishes?
We have only scratched the surface in identifying this "sketch" of a changing Gunnison economy. But we hope it demonstrates the richness of data available to monitor the health and changing character of this regional economy. Others can extend and improve on this snapshot of a dynamic economy, and assure that residents learn about their circumstances and the changes they are undergoing. Through such steps the regional discussion can be enriched and moved towards actions to achieve a desirable and sustainable level of economic development.